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1 Introduction
Ladies and Gentlemen,
It is an honor for me to have the opportunity to speak to you at the New Year’s reception of the American Chamber of Commerce in Frankfurt. AmCham has always served as an important bridge between Germany and the United States, promoting cooperation and understanding between our two nations.
The Mexican writer Homero Aridjis once said: "There are centuries when nothing happens, and years when centuries pass." He was referring to the year 1492 when Columbus discovered the American continent. Nowadays, many may have a similar sense of compressed time, the feeling that our world is changing rapidly. In a way, we are also rediscovering America, an America that behaves differently than in the past. All of this poses a challenge to our economic and political future. We can no longer rely as much as before on transatlantic cooperation and the rules-based international order.
In my speech, I would like to highlight the economic outlook for Europe in this new geopolitical reality. How should Europe adapt to these changes? But before that, I will briefly discuss the economic importance of transatlantic relations and outline their current status.
2 The economic dimension of transatlantic relations
Let’s look at our trade relations. The United States is the largest export market for Germany and the European Union. Nearly 20% of German exports to third countries go to the United States. For the European Union as a whole, the number is almost the same. The relationship is reciprocal, as the European Union is the largest trading partner of the United States and Germany is among the top five. In particular, the United States stands out as the main provider of digital technologies such as artificial intelligence, various digital services, and online payment solutions for retail for the European Union. This partnership is crucial – not only for our individual economies but for the global economy. The European Union and the United States together account for 30% of world trade or 44% of world GDP.
In addition, the combined stock of foreign direct investments between the European Union and the United States in 2023 amounted to 5.4 trillion euros. Foreign direct investments in the United States are more than five times higher than investments in China and India combined. Total US investments in the European Union are even ten times higher than investments in these two countries. These investments reflect not only the opportunities and benefits that economic exchange offers but also the mutual trust and cooperation built in the past.
Trust and cooperation have grown based on shared values and under the umbrella of common security. Institutions like the American Chamber of Commerce in Germany play an essential role here. By bringing together businesses, decision-makers, and civil society, they help maintain the dense network of personal and professional relationships that underpin the transatlantic partnership.
3 Current state of affairs
However, these days, the foundation of transatlantic partnership values seems to be shaking. And the umbrella that gives us security appears much less durable than before. The US government seems to doubt that a strong commitment to the traditional form of multilateralism will benefit the country as much as before. It made an extraordinary shift in course.
Everything comes back to haunt us eventually. The recent political agenda of the European Union places much more emphasis on Europe’s strategic priorities. It must be acknowledged that some criticism of the United States is justified. Indeed, the European Union should be ready to address its own weaknesses. And this process is already underway. The European Union is inevitably – and rightly so – rethinking its economic policy. Adapting to a world that has changed.
4 Priorities for Europe
Despite the headwinds, Europe firmly believes in the benefits of mutual exchange and open, rules-based trade. However, as Europe is deeply integrated into global trade and global value chains, it is strongly affected by geo-economic fragmentation. This process has contributed to a slowdown in economic growth and declining competitiveness over the past two years. We in Europe must act decisively to boost our economic dynamism. Such measures should not only aim to secure export markets but also to maximize the vast potential of the European single market. Let me discuss three of them.
First, rules, regulations, and bureaucratic costs hinder growth and investment in Europe. In the face of rules and regulations, it is not their mere existence that causes problems, but their extraordinary complexity and rigidity. The reports of Enrico Letta and Mario Draghi call for simplifying regulations in the European Union to enhance the competitiveness of the European economy. Simple, digital solutions that work uniformly across the Eurozone are the desire of businesses and citizens.
Therefore, we must simplify the rules. At the very least, member states must do their part by implementing these rules as they are, without embellishment. Meanwhile, the European Commission has taken the initiative to simplify regulations and reduce administrative burden. Similarly, financial regulation can be simplified while maintaining stability. At the initiative of the Commission, the ECB Council set up a high-level task force dedicated to simplifying financial regulation and banking supervision. I am a member of this task force.
Second, we need more investments in our energy and digital infrastructure, especially in renewable energies and artificial intelligence. A stronger common market for energy and artificial intelligence will support resilience and growth. Achieving these goals will not be possible without more private investments in Europe, which in turn require more financial resources. The savings and investment association is a unique opportunity to respond to these needs, and we must not miss it. Check the delivery.
AmCham has always served as an important bridge between Germany and the United States, fostering cooperation and understanding between our two nations. The Mexican writer Homero Aridjis once said, "There are centuries in which nothing happens, and years in which centuries pass." This feeling of compressed time, the sense that our world is rapidly changing, challenges our economic and political future. We cannot rely as much as before on transatlantic cooperation and the rules-based international order.
In my speech, I want to highlight the economic prospects for Europe in this new geopolitical reality. How should Europe adapt to these changes? But first, let me briefly discuss the economic importance of transatlantic relations and outline their current status.
The Economic Dimension of Transatlantic Relations
Let’s look at our trade relations. The United States is the largest export market for Germany and the European Union. Nearly 20% of German exports to third countries go to the United States. For the European Union as a whole, the figure is almost the same. The relationship is reciprocal, as the European Union is the largest trading partner of the United States, with Germany ranking in the top five. In particular, the United States stands out as a major provider of digital technologies such as artificial intelligence, various digital services, and online retail payment solutions for the European Union. This partnership is essential – not only for our individual economies but for the global economy. Together, the European Union and the United States account for 30% of global trade or 44% of global GDP.
Furthermore, the combined stock of direct investments between the European Union and the United States amounted to 5.4 trillion euros in 2023. Foreign direct investments in the United States are more than five times higher than investments in China and India combined.
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Footnotes
- Scott, DC, "The Mexican Writer Sees 1492 as ‘A Year for Eternity’," The Christian Science Monitor, October 11, 1991.
- Draghi, M. (2024), "The Future of European Competitiveness"; Letta, E. (2024), "Much More Than a Market."
- "Simplification – European Commission"
- ECB, "The International Role of the Euro, June 2025." Insgesamt sind die Investitionen in der Europäischen Union sogar zehnmal höher als die Investitionen in den Vereinigten Staaten. Diese Investitionen reflektieren nicht nur die Chancen und Vorteile des wirtschaftlichen Austauschs, sondern auch das gegenseitige Vertrauen und die Zusammenarbeit, die in der Vergangenheit aufgebaut wurden.
Vertrauen und Zusammenarbeit basieren auf gemeinsamen Werten und der gemeinsamen Sicherheit. Institutionen wie die Amerikanische Handelskammer in Deutschland spielen eine entscheidende Rolle bei der Pflege des dichten Netzwerks persönlicher und beruflicher Beziehungen, das die transatlantische Partnerschaft stärkt.
Aktuell scheint jedoch das Fundament der transatlantischen Partnerschaft ins Wanken zu geraten. Die Regierung der Vereinigten Staaten zweifelt am bisherigen Multilateralismus und vollzieht einen ungewöhnlichen Kurswechsel.
Europa muss sich den Herausforderungen stellen und seine Wirtschaftspolitik überdenken, um sich an eine sich verändernde Welt anzupassen. Es sind Maßnahmen erforderlich, um das Wirtschaftswachstum anzukurbeln und die Wettbewerbsfähigkeit zu steigern.
Um dies zu erreichen, müssen Regeln und Vorschriften in Europa vereinfacht werden, um das Wachstum und die Investitionen zu fördern. Investitionen in Energie- und digitale Infrastruktur sind ebenfalls notwendig, um die Resilienz und das Wachstum zu unterstützen. Zudem sollte Europa sich auf die Stärkung der internationalen Rolle des Euro konzentrieren.
Trotz der Herausforderungen ist Europa entschlossen, am Multilateralismus festzuhalten und die transatlantische Zusammenarbeit zu unterstützen. Unabhängig von den Herausforderungen ist es von entscheidender Bedeutung, im Dialog zu bleiben und gemeinsame Lösungen zu suchen. Die Amerikanische Handelskammer in Deutschland, gegründet 1903, hat bereits mehrere Krisen in den transatlantischen Beziehungen überstanden, zu denen Deutschland maßgeblich beigetragen hat. Die Kammer selbst ist ein gutes Beispiel für einen solchen Dialog, der auch in schwierigen Zeiten gepflegt wird.
In einer Rede beim Neujahrsempfang der Amerikanischen Handelskammer in Frankfurt betonte der Sprecher die wichtige Rolle, die AmCham als Brücke zwischen Deutschland und den Vereinigten Staaten spielt. Er zitierte den mexikanischen Schriftsteller Homero Aridjis und betonte die Bedeutung des Jahres 1492 als Wendepunkt in der Geschichte. In der heutigen Zeit, in der sich die Welt schnell verändert, ist es entscheidend, die transatlantischen Beziehungen zu stärken und anzupassen.
Die wirtschaftliche Dimension der transatlantischen Beziehungen wurde ebenfalls hervorgehoben. Die Vereinigten Staaten sind der größte Exportmarkt für Deutschland und die EU, und die Handelsbeziehung ist von gegenseitigem Nutzen. Die Partnerschaft umfasst auch Direktinvestitionen, die 2023 einen beträchtlichen Betrag erreichten. Diese Investitionen spiegeln nicht nur wirtschaftliche Chancen, sondern auch das gegenseitige Vertrauen und die Zusammenarbeit wider, die auf gemeinsamen Werten beruhen.
Der aktuelle Stand der transatlantischen Beziehungen wurde kritisch betrachtet, da das Fundament der Partnerschaft ins Wanken zu geraten scheint. Die EU überdenkt ihre strategischen Prioritäten, während die USA einen Kurswechsel vollziehen. Trotz dieser Herausforderungen glaubt Europa fest an den offenen, regelbasierten Handel und den gegenseitigen Austausch.
Europa muss sich an die veränderte geopolitische Realität anpassen und seine Prioritäten neu setzen. Regeln und bürokratische Kosten hindern das Wachstum in Europa, und Maßnahmen zur Förderung der wirtschaftlichen Dynamik sind erforderlich. Europa muss auch das Potenzial des Binnenmarktes besser ausschöpfen, um seine Wettbewerbsfähigkeit zu stärken.
Insgesamt ist es entscheidend, dass Europa und die USA im Dialog bleiben, um gemeinsame Lösungen zu finden und die transatlantische Partnerschaft zu stärken. Durch eine enge Zusammenarbeit und den Austausch von Ideen können beide Seiten von den wirtschaftlichen und politischen Herausforderungen profitieren, denen sie gegenüberstehen. The reports from Enrico Letta and Mario Draghi call for a simplification of regulations in the European Union to increase the competitiveness of the European economy. Simple, digital solutions that work uniformly across the Eurozone are the desire of businesses and citizens. Therefore, we must simplify the rules. Member states must do their part by implementing these rules as they are, without adding extra burdens. Meanwhile, the European Commission has taken the initiative to simplify regulations and reduce administrative burdens. Similarly, financial regulations can be simplified while maintaining stability. At the initiative of the Commission, the ECB Council established a high-level task force dedicated to simplifying financial regulation and banking supervision. I am a member of this task force.
Secondly, we need more investments in our energy and digital infrastructure, especially in renewable energies and artificial intelligence. A stronger common market for energy and artificial intelligence will support resilience and growth. Achieving these goals will not be possible without increased private investments in Europe, which in turn require more financial resources. The Savings and Investment Union is a unique opportunity to address these needs, and we must not miss it.
We have had the Single Market in the European Union for over 30 years now, but there is still a high degree of economic fragmentation. Progress in financial integration in the Eurozone has been particularly limited. This weighs on the EU economy as a whole and especially on the development of young people and innovators and EU businesses. Therefore, we stand to gain a lot by deepening the integration of the European capital markets. In particular, the major economies in Europe could be better aligned to promote innovation, productivity, and competitiveness. Last year, the European Union took important steps towards creating the Savings and Investment Union, although the process is still in its early stages and many measures are still in the legislative process.
Thirdly, we should focus our efforts on supporting the international role of the Euro. This includes making Europe more independent in terms of payment systems and solutions. The Eurosystem is currently working intensively on the introduction of the digital Euro – a digital retail currency issued by the central bank. This will be the first Europe-wide digital mass payment solution based exclusively on European infrastructures.
Furthermore, we have already conducted important exploratory work on the possible introduction of a wholesale Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). In particular, a wholesale CBDC would allow financial institutions to conduct programmable payments in central bank money. I also see advantages in Euro-denominated stablecoins, as they can be used for cross-border payments by individuals and businesses at low cost.
Overall, the above-mentioned goals – simplification of regulation, promotion of the Union of savings and investments, and a stronger international role of the Euro – represent an ambitious program. However, I believe this program is essential to successfully address the current challenges.
In conclusion, my ladies and gentlemen,
Let me conclude. Will it be 2026 or 2027, as the writer Homero Aridjis argued, "years in which centuries pass by"? We do not yet know. I am sure that entering the new geopolitical and geoeconomic reality will be a challenge for Europe.
But we in Europe can leverage our strategic strengths: our huge internal market, our common currency, and our strong trade relations around the globe based on mutual trust and cooperation. Despite strong headwinds, Europe is not ready to abandon its commitment to multilateralism.
In my opinion, we should do everything possible to support transatlantic cooperation. Regardless of the difficulties, it is crucial to keep the dialogue going and seek common solutions. The American Chamber of Commerce in Germany, founded in 1903, has already weathered several crises in transatlantic relations – to which Germany has contributed significantly. Therefore, the American Chamber of Commerce in Germany is a good example of such a dialogue that is maintained even in difficult times. Please rewrite this sentence.
